Thursday, May 30, 2013

Updating the Trends on Iran

mintu | 6:30 PM | | | | | | Be the first to comment!
For starters, the people there are still screwed by a Khamenei dictatorship that basically hand-picks puppet Presidential candidates.  Hell, at least here in the U.S. we go through a pretense of GOP primaries before getting the same result (puppets for Fox Not-News that is), but still...

As for my once-incredibly popular Iran: Day Six article, having changed the URL from reformamendment.blogspot.com killed its' traffic.  So I gotta restart it.  Here, Google Stats (whistles) Here boy, good puppy!  Gimme my traffic back...

Just in case, lemme re-insert the photos that made it such a hit:

College Roommates funny pic Iran

Cat Solidarity for Iran

Axe Spray for Rioters
I've got several more:
In Honor of Tank Guy

Iranian Lady In Black Will Eff You Up Man

and for some reason this one got a lot of hits:
Obama Pranking on Rush
Oh yeah this one will never get old.... >:-)

Now, SPREAD THE LINKS!

And to the Iranian people: I'm real sorry your political leadership has to kow-tow to a moron like Khamenei.  Unless you can get 50,000 Revolutionary Guards to walk away from the jerkass, he's protected... :(

Peace to you, people.  I know it's not you: it's Khamenei and his paid cronies.

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Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Three Things to Note About Rick Scott As We Gear Up for 2014

mintu | 5:53 PM | | | | Be the first to comment!
1) He's still a total douche towards in-need people like the elderly, low-income families, victims of domestic abuse and kids.

2) No, really, he's a total douche towards the unemployed forcing them to jump through so many hoops and pass so many requirements and all the while cutting back on benefits from 26 weeks (much needed considering long-term unemployment is a REAL AND SCARY thing) to 12 weeks (think you can find a good job in 12 weeks after getting down-sized?  Even with unemployment down to single-digits in the state, that's not nearly enough time...).

3) He's focused on gutting the corporate income tax that will benefit more companies but at the expense of revenues our state still needs.  So, all in all, keeps him in douche territory.

The 2014 gubernatorial election cycle can't come fast enough.  I hope to God the Democrats field a strong candidate and I hope to God people try to remember this time around that RICK SCOTT IS A MEDICARE FRAUD!  /headdesk
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Sunday, May 26, 2013

I Think By Changing My URL I Just Killed My Traffic

mintu | 5:49 PM | | | | Be the first to comment!
Oh lordy people, please note I've dropped the reformamendment.blogspot.com address and switched it to the new noticeatrend.blogspot.com.  The keyword searching should remain the same!

...oh wait, people may have actually linked to the older articles still stuck to that URL.  Oh NOES...

/facepalm

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Presidential Character: Week Eighteen, Good Men Don't Always Make Good Presidents

mintu | 10:15 AM | | | | | Be the first to comment!
You would think - or you would want - a good man to serve as our nation's leader.  But 'good' is a broad term: it covers such concepts as decent, friendly, amenable, just; it also covers such concepts as capable, competent, effective which may require skills that the earlier concepts cannot perform.

Some of our nation's best Presidents had to them a level of ruthlessness.  Obviously they all had some ambition - even the Passive-Negative who runs for the office out of a sense of obligation has a competitive urge to win - to achieve the office.  And in office even our 'good' Presidents wrestled on the political battleground against their enemies, winning with more than a little finesse and a lot of trickery.  These are traits - ambition, deceit - that are not often described as 'good' and yet they get the job done.

The inverse is just as sad: some of our nation's worst Presidents were on a personal level and even at a profession level 'good' in terms of being decent, honorable men.  They were just lousy at politics; and worse, such as the case of Ulysses Simpson Grant our 18th President, they were horrifically inept at choosing their political allies.

Grant rose from obscurity through an appointment to West Point working towards a career in the military.  He wasn't the best graduate out of the Army academy but did well making friends.  Grant served with distinction during the Mexican-American War (although a higher-ranking Robert E. Lee once berated him for inappropriate attire, one of Grant's little quirks), but couldn't handle working the frontier separated from his wife and family and fell into depression and the drink.  Drummed out, he tried farming but failed, tried business but failed, ended up by May 1860 working as a clerk in his younger brothers' shop in Galena, Illinois.  He was one of those men whose heart was good but just couldn't find a place in the world.

When the Civil War began he was the only one in his community with a West Point background, which quickly made him the only qualified man to organize the local volunteers and offer up his services to the governor's office.  He promptly got placed in charge of an unruly regiment he drilled into shape, and then led that regiment into a handful of skirmishes on the Western theater of war that resulted in victories and for him higher promotions.

His unexpectedly decisive victories at Forts Henry and Donelson - which essentially secured most of western Tennessee for the Union and key defensive points on the rivers needed to travel into Confederate states - made Grant a national hero.  Where the war was floundering in Virginia, Grant was securing victories along the Mississippi River (the key to the Anaconda Plan that eventually won the war for the Union).  Even the setback of Shiloh - a surprise Confederate attack that turned from debacle to bloodied victory for Grant's forces over a two-day battle - was temporary.  Once other generals proved incapable compared to what Grant could do - well-organized, sustained attacks under confident conditions; well-organized stubborn defensives that Grant could turn into a battlefield win - he was back in charge with even more armies at his command.

His masterwork of the Vicksburg campaign - cutting himself off from direct supplies, marching through enemy territory with drive unmatched by his Confederate opponents, laying siege on the last key stronghold of Vicksburg to secure the whole length of the Mississippi River for Union forces - led to Grant getting placed in charge of the whole U.S. armed force.  He spent some time finishing up some work on the Western theater - to ensure his trusted colleague Sherman had a strong position from which to finish the job there - before focusing his attention on the Virginia theater, where general after general failed to capture General Lee's forces or at least drive the Confederates out of their own capitol in Richmond.

Grant succeeded against Lee from 1864 onward where the earlier generals failed because of one thing: Grant did not treat a battlefield loss like a disaster.  Confident that he had the men and resources, Grant did not retreat the second Lee's forces bloodied his: while this led to bloodier battlefields, it meant Lee could not enjoy a moment of rest or time to restock on men and material.  Grant also saw a bigger picture: as long as he tied down Lee's army in Virginia, Sherman's forces in Tennessee were free to march into Georgia... and then through Georgia in a move that shredded even more of the South's infrastructure and ability to support their own war efforts.  It was messy but it got the job done: by March 1865 Grant had stretched Lee's defenses at Petersburg to where a frontal assault on April 2nd broke Lee's entire army.  Richmond had to be abandoned.  Two weeks later Lee surrendered to Grant.

Grant ended the war a national hero.  He served as capably as possible as head of the armies during the Johnson administration - even serving as interim Secretary of War during the dust-up involving Stanton - before going on to be the Republican candidate for President in 1868 and winning handily over a Democratic Party still demoralized by the Civil War.

And sad to say for Grant and for the nation it was all downhill from there.  There's a reason why before Watergate Grant's tenure was considered the most scandalous in American history.

Grant's Cabinet appointments - some of them personal acquaintances from his days in Galena - were either driven from office for corruption or conflict-of-interest charges within three months.  Pro-business allies of the Republican Party dealt with government cronies all through the executive and legislative offices to get insider information, with those cronies enjoying kickbacks and favors.  Read up on the Union Pacific Railroad.  Look up Whiskey Ring.  Most damaging was how Grant's brother-in-law got involved with Jay Gould's attempt to corner the gold market.  It crashed the economy, and a lot of people were ruined by it.

Grant's history and habits make a decent case for his having a Passive-Positive character.  Just his getting enrolled at West Point alone makes the case: when a clerical error had his name changed from Hiram Ulysses to Ulysses Simpson (Simpson being his mother's maiden name), Grant didn't correct the error and lived with it (another such person was Eisenhower).  Even more so, his classmates nicknamed him "Uncle Sam" from his new U.S. initials... and later more favorably called him just "Sam".  And he didn't mind one whit what his friends called him.

This is Compliant behavior: someone who seeks friendship and to be loved.  But the chart on the four types shows a serious negative trait about this behavior: Pass-Pos Presidents can be easily manipulated.

Grant presided over a time when "anything goes" was the motto of business.  Government contracts to be had for the asking: a stock market unregulated and ripe for abuse.  The Spoils System of the Democrats carried over to the Republicans who relished in the power and money and none of the responsibility.  The urban legend was that Grant was so swamped at the Willard Hotel lobby (Grant liked to go there to get a whiskey and cigar) with job-seekers that he took to calling them "lobbyists" (actually, the word origin came from British Parliament of the 1600s).

Grant himself personally didn't profit from any of these dealings - in fact post-administration he got burned by a couple of con artists that left his family broke on the eve of his finding out he had inoperable cancer - but he was reacting more to the scandals than doing anything to stop them (another Pass-Pos trait).  It didn't help that he had a political party neck-deep in all that corruption, sharing power with a Congress that viewed him as a puppet, and with an opposition party in the Democrats so currently unpopular that the voters had nowhere to go to vote the crooks out.  It was a perfect storm of corrupt politics.

Worse, Grant's truest accomplishments in office - his handling of Reconstruction in the South and doing his best to ensure civil rights for freed Blacks - were not free of the corruption.  Attempts to get Blacks started on their own farms were twisted into land deals to others: the schools and colleges the Freedmen's Bureau opened across the South to help former slaves learn much-needed educations were left under-funded.  His greatest success - sending the army out against the Klan - wasn't consistently applied: by 1875 as the corruption of his administration pretty much fatigued the whole nation, Grant wasn't getting any pressure to stop a wave of violence engulfing Mississippi.  By 1877 the North did not care for civil rights anymore: the long-term ramifications of giving up on Reconstruction did not cross their minds... and we all got stuck with Jim Crow for 100 years while the Deep South - for Whites and Blacks - regressed into a backwater.

Grant's Presidential legacy remains a mess.  There is no excuse for it.  But what made it worse was the revisionist pro-Confederacy historians who wrote our nation's histories and biographies for the century following his term of office.  The saying is that "history is written by the winners" but the Lost Cause supporters - the losers - remain a clear exception to that: and in order to make their personal heroes - the slave-owning oligarchs, the Jefferson Davises, the post-war Klansmen - into saints those historians tarnished Grant's reputation - as a drunkard, as a butcher, as a corrupt politician - far lower than it deserved.

In that time, we as a nation needed a great President.  We instead got a good man... who just happened to be a terrible President.  'Tis the pity.  Grant deserves a better legacy.  Maybe if more people read his memoirs: it is considered, then and now, one of the best military and personal autobiographies ever wrote.  Project Gutenberg ebook link here.

Next Week: Bush the Lesser wasn't even the first President to win office by just one vote.  It was this guy...
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Saturday, May 25, 2013

Changing the Blog's Address to Match The Name

mintu | 12:02 PM | | Be the first to comment!
This can get messy.  Linking to this blog is through the URL name, so I'd have to get a lot of my fellow Hordians and associates to update their links on their sites (I just finished yelling at Emily to change the link's name at her site, now I'm thinking of doing this to her?  Sigh).

Anyway.  Has to be done, since the tenor of the site has changed, the URL needs to as well.

Working on it.  Don't be surprised if it gets worse... :insert foolish grin here:

UPDATE: This blog's address is now http://noticeatrend.blogspot.com/

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Thursday, May 23, 2013

Shorter Translation of Obama's Speech on Counter-Intel, Gitmo and GWOT

mintu | 7:55 PM | | | | | Be the first to comment!
David Weigel at Slate broke it down pretty succinctly, but I can bring it down to one sentence.

"We as a nation are not going to reclaim our moral standing in the world until we stop listening to the fearmongers and we start focusing on pragmatic resolutions such as upholding our international treaties, closing down overseas detention cells used to hide our transgressions, respecting the rule of law to free the innocent and convict those found guilty in open courts, improving our intel to locate and isolate those who promote terrorism across the globe, and getting Congress to do the job IT has to do by passing the legislation our nation needs to get this all done."

Okay, it's a bit wordy but I promised to get it down into one sentence.


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Monday, May 20, 2013

If a Scandal Fell In The Forest And No One Heard It, Would the GOP Still Impeach Obama?

mintu | 7:22 PM | | | | | Be the first to comment!
Yes, because any excuse to impeach will do in the eyes of the Far Right wingnut brigade.

Basically, the Republican Party spent the last week screaming about three scandals - and even tried jumping on a "fourth" - claiming Obama was guilty as sin concerning Benghazi, the IRS auditing of Tea Party groups in 2010, and the Department of Justice going after AP News internal e-mails.

The nation basically bumped Obama's favorable numbers up by four points.  Maybe two points if you average it out.  In short, nobody's hating on Obama that hasn't been hating him already, and the middling group that wavers between Maybe/Maybe Not leaning more Maybe.

In the grand scheme of scandal-mongering that keeps the Beltway media well-fed outside of the election cycles, at what point does the media realize they've lost the narrative again and that they're out-of-step with the nation's majority?

'Cause last time the Beltway media types picked up on Scandal Fever while the rest of the nation yawned was in 1997-98, when the 4 years of Whitewater investigating turned up no criminal land-dealing but instead found a college-age intern with Clinton's body fluids on her dress.  As the GOP raced to impeachment, the nation sided with Clinton and voted more Democrats into Congress, essentially killing Newt Gingrich's career as Speaker (as well as his replacement Livingstone who didn't even have the joy of being Speaker longer than, what, 8 hours?).

I mean, in 2005 the downturn of Iraq into a Vietnamesque quagmire and the tragic mishandling of rescue and relief after Hurricane Katrina made the Bush the Lesser administration squirm a bit and suffer in popularity with the media types.  But that happened to sync with the nation's mood as Bush's popularity slid into the mid-20s.  Here, the media is all aflutter about Obama finally (Finally, say the scandal-mongers who live for such things)... and they're making the mistakes they made in 1998.

I can still remember Sam Donaldson, the aging Alpha Male leader of the White House press corps, openly predicting a Clinton resignation over the Lewinsky Affair by the end of the first week.  The media jumped from observer status to public judge and jury, without making sure first the public was with them.  Thing is, the common sense of the nation's majority takes in the outrage and then reads into just what the hell the issue is all about.  Sure, the first day or so they'll be a lot of angry people, but as the more accurate follow-up reports dig deeper and find out exactly what did happen (for example, the early reports on the Benghazi "smoking gun" e-mail said one thing but follow-up reports revealed that "smoking gun" was edited by someone on the outside) the people calm down and take a more objective look at things.

Part of this is the desire by the media elites to have another Watergate.  The scandal - that proved to have legitimate misdeeds worth reporting - that broke the Nixon adminstration and turned journalists into rock stars.  Everyone in the Beltway wants to be the next muckraker with a 5-book deal.  And so they jump on each scandal with equal ferocity but little judgment.

Each scandal right now has a legit issue... but so far NONE of them touch Obama.  The real scandal involving Benghazi isn't the internal State and West Wing bickering over post-attack talking points, the real scandal is that our overseas embassy security funding has been slashed the last 2 years by a Republican-controlled Congress.  The real scandal involving the IRS investigation of Tea Party groups is that the IRS is working from confusing legislative instructions that can't differentiate between non-profit groups and political fundraising outfits (Obama hasn't been directly linked to this anyway: there are buffers between a White House and the IRS to prevent any intimidation in the first place, one of the legacies of Watergate by the way).  And while the media will be outraged about the Justice Department investigating the AP, there was a substantial security leak being investigated: the DoJ had done this kind of thing before actually, it was just this time around a particular bureaucratic step seemed to get overlooked (note: there is a recent revelation of another such leak investigation focusing on a Fox Not-News reporter which looks to be more troubling in grey legal territory.  But again this isn't on Obama it's more on the Attorney General).

As for the "fourth" scandal, a late-in-the-week outrage over Obama asking a Marine to hold an umbrella over his head during a rainy outdoor press conference.  Dear wingnuts: Are you out of your goddamn minds?  Acting like Obama was embarrassing that Marine, or somehow violating a military code?  And that something like that never happens under other Presidential administrations?  /headdesk

This is, sitting not so comfortably from the outside of a Beltway social-professional circle of talking heads who are stuck both in a high school clique mentality and in the mistaken belief that it's still 1985 in America, just a bunch of sound and fury signifying nothing.  If they keep pushing this on a public who isn't buying it, will they ever figure it out?  Will they ever get called on it?

Here's hoping the wingnut media and their GOP congressional buddies overreach and lose control of the House and even more Senate seats in the 2014 midterms.  I doubt that would slap some reality into them, but at least the damage they're doing with all their damned obstruction would desist (as long as the Senate Dems carry through on getting rid of Secret Holds and that damned Cloture rule).
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